2
Ibaca
8yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Hadol Du Vivier - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 7
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | 7 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Chatelaillon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Toulouse | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/08/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 23/08/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/08/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 09/11/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 18/05/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/07/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |