10
Nano Up Star
3yo Colt · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Fan Idole - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 1 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |