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Natif Des Caillons

3yo Colt · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Fan Idole - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Toulouse 15/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 015/0123 @ Toulouse 19/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 019/023C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 07/03C?2 @ Toulouse 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 010/042C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Beaumont-De-Lomagne?5th5th0
2026-04-10Toulouse24th4th0
2026-03-07Bordeaux Le Bouscat?4th4th0
2026-02-19Toulouse31st2nd−1
2026-01-15Toulouse23rd3rd0
2025-12-17Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0119/027/0310/0413/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +10.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20263rd15/890%75%-0.15
19/02/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
07/03/20264th7/163%57%-0.06
10/04/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
13/07/20265th50/10%50%+0.50