9
Nectar D'avignere
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Fan Idole - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-22 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-17 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 57% | -0.38 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 01/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |