7
Noble De Source
3yo Colt · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Fan Idole - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 3 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graignes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/09/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |