6
Greg De Niro
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Gd Px Dynavena - Gd Px Des Vendanges - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C11.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 18 | 1st | 19th | −15 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 24/12/2025 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.62 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |