2

Jantara Desbois
7yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Gd Px Dynavena - Gd Px Des Vendanges - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-14 | Agen | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-02-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.04 |
| 21/12/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 63% | -0.33 |
| 30/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |