1
John Steed
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Gd Px Dynavena - Gd Px Des Vendanges - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 6 | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-11-30 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/11/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 35% | -0.02 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 93% | +0.03 |