8

Kaptain Du Liamone
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Gd Px Dynavena - Gd Px Des Vendanges - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 79% | -0.11 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |