9
Lili
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De L'amicale Midi Pyrenees Auvergne - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 5 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 6 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |