5

Lolita Turgot

5yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix De L'amicale Midi Pyrenees Auvergne - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 25/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13425/04C?C0 @ Caen 10/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 134C0 @ Vichy 02/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02/06C?C0 @ Vichy 16/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 03 @ Vincennes 05/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/0133 @ Caen 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 04 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/0544 @ Cabourg 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 05 @ Laval 10/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13410/095projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vincennes4−1
2026-09-10Laval512th14th−2
2026-08-23Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2026-08-14Cabourg44th5th−1
2026-05-30Agen2+1
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence410th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0416/0621/0510/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20257th80/10%50%+0.50
10/05/20259th50/10%38%+0.38
02/06/20253rd12/137%82%+0.45
16/06/20259th33/10%27%+0.27
05/01/20269th66/10%20%+0.20
09/05/202611th80/10%23%+0.23
21/05/202610th14/126%10%-0.16
14/08/20264th66/10%77%+0.77
10/09/202612th80/10%27%+0.27