11
Louisdor Dechambou
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De L'amicale Midi Pyrenees Auvergne - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Agen | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |