8
Luke Skywalker
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De L'amicale Midi Pyrenees Auvergne - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-01-22 | Toulouse | 5 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 22/11/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 04/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 24/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 29/06/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |