8
Manhattan Emge
4yo Colt · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Scream - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 1.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/5 | 98% | 82% | -0.16 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 79% | +0.08 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/7 | 99% | 92% | -0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |