6
Mister Du Choquel
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Scream - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 12/01/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 09/02/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |