3
Mistral De Freca
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Scream - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |