7
Jalisco De Neuvy
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Hyeres | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 7 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 7 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | 5 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 10/10/2024 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 53% | -0.28 |
| 23/10/2024 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 05/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |