1

Jamaicain D'ortuge

7yo Gelding · 8-13

Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 25/08/2023 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 025/08C?C0 @ Nantes 29/09/2023 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 24/11/2023 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 024/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/12/2023 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Toulouse 23/01/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 023/01C?C0 @ Agen 17/02/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 09/03/2024 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 09/03C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 17/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 14/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 12514/11C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-22Toulouse?0
2026-01-15Toulouse60
2026-01-09Toulouse60
2025-11-14Toulouse?7th7th0
2025-10-31Toulouse?0
2025-08-04Chatelaillon?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0814/129/0314/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/202310th16/116%31%+0.15
29/09/20237th40/10%50%+0.50
24/11/20235th25/10%73%+0.73
14/12/202310th14/126%18%-0.08
23/01/20243rd16/116%71%+0.56
17/02/20248th28/10%13%+0.13
09/03/20246th11/142%44%+0.02
17/12/202410th50/10%36%+0.36
14/11/20257th50/10%45%+0.45