10
Janeiro Turgot
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 7 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |