2

Jilou Du Radon

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y

#11

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength2%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 15/12/2021 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12515/12C?C0 @ Toulouse 19/01/2023 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f122y Std 12119/01C?C0 @ Feurs 03/04/2023 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f13y Gd 1213/04C?C0 @ Agen 04/03/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 1214/03C?C0 @ Toulouse 28/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 14328/10C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-10-28Toulouse?8th8th0
2024-03-04Agen?7th7th0
2023-04-03Feurs?6th6th0
2023-01-19Toulouse?4th4th0
2022-06-30Enghien?0
2022-04-12Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1219/013/044/0328/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20217th33/10%33%+0.33
19/01/20234th20/10%73%+0.73
03/04/20236th8/158%50%-0.08
04/03/20247th50/10%50%+0.50
28/10/20248th50/10%46%+0.46