9
Kiannick Of Nouic
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |