4

Koala Du Dropt
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-09 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2023 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/01/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 20/11/2024 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.83 |
| 20/12/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 09/01/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |