4

Koala Du Dropt

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 03/07/2023 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 03/07C?C0 @ Agen 22/01/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 20/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 020/11C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 20/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 09/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 09/01C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 05 @ Toulouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS5/065C0 @ Agen 17/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Langon-Libourne 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 014/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Langon-Libourne?6th6th0
2026-06-17Agen?10th10th0
2026-06-05Toulouse57th6th+1
2026-04-29Beaumont-De-Lomagne?3rd3rd0
2025-05-24Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2025-01-09Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0720/125/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20238th25/10%46%+0.46
22/01/20244th15/261%77%+0.16
20/11/20243rd18/15%88%+0.83
20/12/20243rd3/184%87%+0.02
09/01/20258th20/10%46%+0.46
29/04/20263rd8/158%88%+0.30
05/06/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
17/06/202610th40/10%40%+0.40
14/07/20266th40/10%62%+0.62