8
Latino Beji
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Toulouse · Prix Ourasi - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2026-02-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 94% | +0.88 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |