10
La Desirade
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Castelsarrasin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength13%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-21 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Reims | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-06 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 16/04/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 77% | -0.09 |