7
Laika Carisaie
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Castelsarrasin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength64%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 5 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 5 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 5 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-19 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +14.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |