1
Linotte Paulo
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Castelsarrasin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#16
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +7.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | Angers | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-11 | Caen | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 16/12/2024 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 27/05/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 11/06/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/07/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 12/08/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 42% | -0.44 |
| 10/09/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 08/12/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |