4
Litterature
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Castelsarrasin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength85%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 7
Class gap: +2.9
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 6 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2016-09-26 | Maisons-Laffitte | ? | +3 | ||
| 2016-08-28 | Deauville | 1 | +6 | ||
| 2016-07-21 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2016-01-06 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2014-11-15 | Toulouse | ? | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +39.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2016 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 21/07/2016 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |