6

Lou De Beaulac
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Castelsarrasin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#13
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Cholet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 17/07/2025 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 36% | -0.50 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 46% | -0.09 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |