7
Last Round
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Cauterets - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength89%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 7
Class gap: +3.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | 2 | +5 | ||
| 2026-03-27 | Fontwell | 4 | 1st | -3th | +3 |
| 2026-02-07 | Newbury | 3 | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-01-15 | Ludlow | 4 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +17.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |