2
Little Oaks
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Cauterets - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 7 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-05-20 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-05 | Saint Galmier | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/02/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 05/03/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 19/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |