14
Lizarius
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Cauterets - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +7.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-28 | Strasbourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 29/09/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |