8

Lord Du Grais

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix De Cauterets - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 03/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 03/10C?C0 @ Vire 25/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 03/07C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 13/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Caen 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Cabourg 16/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 021/07C?C0 @ Vichy 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Vichy?4th4th0
2026-07-21Cabourg?6th6th0
2026-06-07Lisieux?0
2026-01-15Toulouse5+2
2025-12-23Argentan?0
2025-12-16Cabourg?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1013/0721/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/202411th16/116%23%+0.07
25/06/20253rd50/10%83%+0.83
03/07/20254th18/15%81%+0.76
13/07/20258th10/147%30%-0.17
20/09/20255th40/10%67%+0.67
16/12/20259th50/10%33%+0.33
21/07/20266th150/10%67%+0.67
25/08/20264th50/10%50%+0.50