12
Lucifer Pactole
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Cauterets - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 6 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-07-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 02/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |