1
Lucky Aimef
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Cauterets - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | 5 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 5 | +2 | ||
| 2025-07-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -11.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/12/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 14/07/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 15/01/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |