5
Larry Du Doubs
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ella - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 6 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Mauquenchy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 06/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |