11
Laussac Du Buisson
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ella - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-13 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 76% | +0.03 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 19/09/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |