13
Le Meteque
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ella - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/04/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 05/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 19/01/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |