7
Le Porto
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ella - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-25 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-10-22 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-09-24 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-08 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-07-16 | Le Mans | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -13.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 24/09/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 22/10/2024 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |