6

Lozano

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Ella - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#11

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength1%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 01/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y 01/11C?C0 @ Reims 14/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 014/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 029/11C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 023/06C?C0 @ Reims 14/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 014/09C?C0 @ La Capelle 22/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/09C?C0 @ Enghien 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 026/10C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-23Le Croise-Laroche?0
2025-10-26Enghien?8th8th0
2025-09-22La Capelle?4th4th0
2025-09-14Reims?4th4th0
2025-06-23Le Croise-Laroche?1st1st0
2024-11-29Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1123/0626/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +9.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20247th11/486%57%-0.28
14/11/20243rd25/10%80%+0.80
29/11/20246th40/10%38%+0.38
23/06/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
14/09/20254th25/10%73%+0.73
22/09/20254th80/10%79%+0.79
26/10/20258th28/10%50%+0.50