7
Kasanga
6yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Gauricus - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 6 | 10th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-12-01 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 01/12/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 91% | -0.06 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |