8
Lelia France
5yo Filly · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Gauricus - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 13/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |