6

Liberty Delo
5yo Filly · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Gauricus - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | −2 | ||
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |