6

Liberty Delo

5yo Filly · 9-13

Vincennes · Prix Gauricus - Monte · 1m 5f 92y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 20/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13420/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 04/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1344/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 24/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1345 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13927/025C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 139C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 13923/06C?C0 @ Enghien 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13031/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-01Enghien?4th4th0
2026-06-23Enghien?4th4th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-05-07Chartres5−2
2026-02-27Vincennes57th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0524/1123/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20256th16/116%64%+0.48
20/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
04/11/20257th14/126%57%+0.31
24/11/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
27/02/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
26/05/20268th33/10%53%+0.53
23/06/20264th10/147%67%+0.19
01/08/20264th4/179%70%-0.09
31/08/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32