3
Lilou D'atout
5yo Filly · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Gauricus - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-01-26 | Mauquenchy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/01/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 38% | -0.55 |
| 26/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/09/2026 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |