10
Perfect
6yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Gauricus - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 6 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 31/01/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |