4

L'apologie

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Massalia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#14

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/11C?C0 @ Cabourg 17/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 017/12C?C0 @ Argentan 26/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 026/12C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 026/08C?5 @ Amiens 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 011/065projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Amiens57th7th0
2025-08-26Cabourg?10th10th0
2025-05-25Argentan?0
2024-12-26Argentan?6th6th0
2024-12-17Cabourg?8th8th0
2024-11-14Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1117/1226/1226/0811/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20247th80/10%25%+0.25
17/12/20248th40/10%46%+0.46
26/12/20246th28/10%67%+0.67
26/08/202510th40/10%40%+0.40
11/06/20267th40/10%50%+0.50