4

L'apologie
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Massalia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-26 | Argentan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-17 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-14 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2024 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/12/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 26/12/2024 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |