12
Lady Channel
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Massalia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Vire | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 23/07/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 26/04/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 01/09/2025 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.03 |