9
Lea Gibus
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Massalia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-06 | Argentan | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2024 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 23% | -0.45 |
| 25/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/01/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 42% | -0.48 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |