11
Lolita De Mieloui
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Massalia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 20/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |