10
Lutece D'ouville
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Massalia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |