12
General De Connee
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Austria - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Nantes | 5 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 25/01/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |